Energy of balconies instead of squares: is there a chance for Pashinyan to retain power The situation is becoming more and more tense. The leadership appears reluctant to compromise by urging its supporters to take to the streets. About the tactics of the authorities and the opposition, as well as about a possible way out of the internal political crisis - in the material of Sputnik Armenia.
Prime Minister of Armenia Nikol Pashinyan, who sat in the “bunker” in the first month after the signing of the trilateral statement on Karabakh, was again drawn to the people. Pashinyan claims that he is supported by the majority, and he does not resign, defending precisely the power of the people. Is this so?
The mourning procession organized by Pashinyan to the Yerablur pantheon and the rally after the announcement of the "coup attempt" showed that the prime minister did not enjoy the former support of the popular masses. If in the spring of 2018, in the midst of the protest movement, Pashinyan gathered and led tens of thousands of people, now the number of his like-minded people has noticeably decreased. The politician, who had previously spoken to a crowd of hundreds of thousands on Republic Square, suddenly started talking about the "energy of balconies." Yes, the prime minister may continue to wave their hands in greeting from the balconies of high-rise buildings in the sleeping areas of Yerevan, but they no longer consider it necessary to go down and join his movement.
However, the prime minister himself knows about the falling rating and mood in society, otherwise he would not have surrounded himself with a huge number of bodyguards and police officers. Unlike the times of the "velvet revolution", Now he goes out to the people, only being in a tight ring of security officials.
The fact that the prime minister is trying by all means to stay in power is evidenced by the unwillingness to lift the martial law in the country.
Otherwise, why are the authorities maintaining this legal regime, if the hostilities have already ended for several months? Yes, they can argue: they do, because they probably fear a new round of tension and an external threat to Armenia. They do not cancel, so that if something happens quickly, without going through lengthy procedures, reintroduce strict restrictions and announce mobilization.
But a logical, at first glance, explanation does not stand up to criticism, because citizens are not prohibited from leaving the country. What kind of martial law is it in which men who are subject to mobilization can freely leave the country? And even if the exit ban is reintroduced, who will return those who have already left and continue to leave the country? Permission to leave the country was argued by the fact that people need to live on something, and among many citizens who have been leaving the country for many years for seasonal earnings outside the country, there should be an opportunity to feed their families. But was it just concern for people that caused the restrictions to be lifted?
Or is there still fear of the electorate. The fear that hungry citizens who are unable not only to find jobs in their homeland, but also to earn a piece of bread outside Armenia, will revolt and join the protests.
After the defeat in Karabakh, Pashinyan's “adepts” immediately began to spread rumors that the prime minister was only interfered with and that he was betrayed. "What could he do ?!" Is the main answer to all accusations against the prime minister, with a hint of a complex balance of power in the region and foreign policy pressure.